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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2014-12-19T00:27:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-12-19T00:27Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/7413/-1
CME Note: assocaited with M6.9 flare with peak time2014-12-18T21:41Z. Shock arrival time verification still pending.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-12-21T18:22Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 5.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-12-21T01:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 80.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 5.0 - 8.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
Prediction Method Note:

Met Office ENLIL settings.
ENLIL version: 2.7
Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)
Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1
WSA version: 2.2

Please specify following CME input parameters.
Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2014-12-19T02:26Z
Radial velocity (km/s): 1000
Longitude (deg): E004
Latitude (deg): S09
Half-angular width (deg): 
60
Notes: 
Space weather advisor:

Lead Time: 50.12 hour(s)
Difference: 17.37 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2014-12-19T16:15Z

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